Overall * NFL * NCAA-F * NBA * NCAA-B * NHL * MLB
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Matt Fargo |
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| Matt has TWO plays Monday (2 CFB). He is riding a SIZZLING 13-7-2 ATS (65%) run in CFB dating back to the start of 2010! Matt WON his CFB Report for Sunday as the Tulsa/East Carolina Over covered by 41 points! |
| SHORT STATS | ||||
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| Last 7 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Moneyline Picks | +3.0 units | +1.5% | 50% | 1-1 |
| Last 30 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| ATS Picks | +180.0 units | +6.2% | 56% | 14-11 |
| Last 60 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| ATS Picks | +180.0 units | +6.2% | 56% | 14-11 |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | Starts |
| MLB | Sep 08, 2010 San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks |
San Francisco Giants +122 at 5DIMES |
started |
| This line is based on the starting pitching matchup and nothing else. While the pitching makes up a big part of the number, looking at the overall team is just as big and the Giants clearly have a significant edge. San Francisco has won four straight games to remain only a game back of the Padres in the National League West. This recent run has put the Giants two games over .500 away from home on the year and while that isn’t spectacular, it is better than the Diamondbacks home record. While the Giants have won four in a row, Arizona has dropped four in a row and with the first two losses in this series, it dropped to 2-10 over the last 12 meetings on the season. While the pitching has been the big problem all season, the offense has shut down during this skid as the Diamondbacks have averaged only 2.5 rpg over the last four contests. Overall Arizona is 22 games worse than San Francisco on the season and it is sitting at 34-40 at home. The pitching is where the Diamondbacks have the advantage but a contrarian look gives us value on the underdog. Barry Zito has struggled of late and for the Giants to make a run, he needs to get back on track. Zito is 0-7 with a 5.79 ERA in his last 10 games including a 9.51 ERA in his last six games. He hasn't won a road game since May 5th at Florida, so he's more than due. Playing the due card is never the way to go but this is a good spot as the Giants are 23-8 in Zito’s last 31 starts when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. The Diamondbacks counter with Daniel Hudson who has bee the complete opposite of Zito. Since coming over from Chicago in the Edwin Jackson deal, he is 4-1 with a 1.99 ERA and Hudson was named the NL Rookie of the Month for August. That is some pressure added to the table now. All seven of his starts with Arizona have been quality outings including one against the Giants. However, this is the first time in these games that he will see a team for the second time and that is an edge for the offense. San Francisco falls into a great contrarian situation as well. Play on National League underdogs with a moneyline between +100 and +150 that have an on-base percentage of .350 or less and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 2.25 or worse over his last three starts going up against a team with a bullpen whose season WHIP is 1.55 or worse. This situation is 31-11 (73.8 percent) since 1997. 3* San Francisco Giants Matt last released a 10* TOP PLAY Report a week ago to the day and it resulted in an easy WIN on the Phillies! As a matter of fact he is on a 4-2 (66.7%) run with his 10* TOP PLAY side reports and he adds to the run on Wednesday! Join him for his TOP Divisional Report that is backed by a TERRIFIC 33-18 (64.7%) Power Situation! Grab it, book it and CASH it! |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Sep 07, 2010 Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs |
Total 10½ ov-120 at SPBOOK |
Lost $120.0 |
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We are looking at three over/under reports for tonight and all three contain a good amount of value based on the contrarian way of looking at them. We are going with the ‘Over’ between the Astros and Cubs. Because this game is in Wrigley Field, the number could be jumping around all day based on the wind situation and honestly the higher it goes, the better it could be as it would be to our advantage. The first game of this series on Monday stayed ‘Under’ and that has been a common theme for Astros games. Houston has gone 14-1 to the ‘Under’ over its last 15 games and 18-3 to the ‘Under’ over its last 21 games so we are getting value based on that alone. The pitching has been the big reason as it has been outstanding but that could change tonight against a Cubs offense that has been scoring a lot as of late. The Cubs have averaged 6.6 rpg over their last eight games and on the flip side, the pitching has been giving up just as many scores. Only five of those games have gone ‘Over’ though and the ‘Over’ is 5-1 in the Cubs last six games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Houston sends Nelson Figueroa to the hill and he has been extremely solid since getting put into the starting rotation. He has allowed two runs or fewer in all four of his starts and to no surprise, all four of those games have stayed below the number. All that does for us is increase the value as trend players will be hitting the ‘Under’ to come in again. Carlos Silva is back on the mound after being on the disabled list for a rapid heartbeat. He started the season great but faltered prior to his condition and he was just average in a couple minor league rehab assignments. He is rested which is a good thing but it is a tough spot to come back into and there is a good possibility his pitch count will be limited. That is not good for the Cubs whose bullpen has a 5.28 ERA on the season which is second worst in all of baseball. 3* Over Houston Astros/Chicago Cubs Matt is back on the bases following a weekend pass and he is stepping out Tuesday with a trio of winners! He has uncovered THREE GOLDEN OPPORTUNITIES to cash totals tickets and all three are filled with incredible value! Join him for his Tuesday Totals Trifecta as Matt expects nothing less than a PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP! Do not miss out! Add to your football bankroll tonight! |
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MLB | Sep 07, 2010 Cleveland Indians vs. Los Angeles Angels |
Total 8½ ov-110 at 5DIMES |
Lost $110.0 |
| We are looking at three over/under reports for tonight and all three contain a good amount of value based on the contrarian way of looking at them. We are going with the ‘Over’ between the Indians and Angels. Last night the teams produced only five runs and it was the third time in four meetings this season that the ‘Under’ has come in. Adding to that run, the Indians have gone ‘Under’ in their last four games on this roadtrip while Los Angeles is 7-3 to the ‘Under’ over its last 10 games. Justin Masterson got off to a very rough start this season for Cleveland but he has turned his season the other way with some very good outings over the last two months. He has gone ‘Under’ in his last three starts and I can’t see it going on much longer. He has thrown two straight quality outings but he has not been able to make it three in a row at any point this year. Prior to this three-game ‘Under’ run, the Indians had gone 14-4-1 to the ‘Over’ in his 19 previous games. Trevor Bell gets the call for the Angels and he has tossed two quality outings in his last two starts with both of those games going ‘Under’. Like Masterson, I think this is where it ends. He started the season with four straight non-quality performances and while all of those were on the road, his success at home has been minimal. He has a 5.09 ERA at home on the season and while most of the damage was done in the bullpen, this is a good spot and a good number to see that inconsistency hit him in the starter role. 9* Over Cleveland Indians/Los Angeles Angels | ||
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MLB | Sep 07, 2010 Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins |
Total 8 un-104 at 5DIMES |
Lost $104.0 |
| We are looking at three over/under reports for tonight and all three contain a good amount of value based on the contrarian way of looking at them. We are going with the ‘Under’ between the Royals and Twins. This series has had some high scoring games this season as the ‘Over’ is 11-2 in the first 13 meetings this year. Going back further the ‘Over’ is 17-3 in the last 20 meetings dating back to last season. With a posted total of eight for tonight, that will seem low to the public and figure to be another good ‘Over’ bet. Brian Bannister gets the call for the Royals following his call up from Triple-A Omaha. He is going to be limited in his pitch count and innings tossed as he tries to build some of his stamina back from a shoulder issue. This is not a bad thing as he has had some struggles and the Royals bullpen has been pitching better than the starting staff all season as well as on the road. The Twins counter with Francisco Liriano and he is coming off two straight quality outings following a rough start against Chicago. That start against the White Sox came at home where he allowed five runs in five innings and despite that, his ERA at Target Field is still a very solid 2.51. Eight of his 13 starts have gone ‘Under’ and in his only start against the Royals this season, he allowed no runs in seven innings. The ‘Under is 7-3 in Liriano’s last 10 starts following a quality outing in his last game. 9* Under Kansas City Royals/Minnesota Twins | ||
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MLB | Sep 07, 2010 Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers |
Total 8½ un-105 at 5DIMES |
Lost $105.0 |
| We are looking at three over/under reports for tonight and all three contain a good amount of value based on the contrarian way of looking at them. We are going with the ‘Under’ between the White Sox and Tigers. The ‘Over’ came through last night in extra innings and for the season series, the total has surpassed the number in four of the last five meetings. Justin Verlander is having an excellent season with a 3.61 ERA and that drops close to a full run in his home starts as his ERA is 2.63 in 13 starts at Comerica Park. Despite his recent success, three of his last four starts have gone ‘Over’ and in his last nine starts, the posted total has been higher than 7.5 only once and that provides some cushion for tonight. He has not faced the White Sox yet this season and that is an edge for him as the offense has yet to see Verlander. Freddy Garcia got off to a terrific start this season but he has gotten real inconsistent of late with quality starts mixed in with some blowups. The run support has been exceptional but with Verlander on the hill, that will be hard to come by tonight. The ‘Over’ is 9-0 in Garcia’s last nine starts and that alone presents a huge go against as this is a streak that actually provides value going the other way. Even more so is the fact that the ‘Over’ is 4-0 in all four of his starts against the Tigers this season. 9* Under Chicago White Sox/Detroit Tigers | ||
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SERVICE BIO |
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| Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as �Mr. Analysis� as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |
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